What’s next for Cuba?

posted by
December 21, 2016
Independent Institute
by Alvaro Vargas Llosa  
Posted in Commentary

"At the age of 85, Raul will not be around to make decisions much longer. But anyone who thinks this is the beginning of a meaningful political transition is sorely mistaken. Fidel's brother believes in combining limited market reforms with one-party rule -- the 'Vietnamization' of the Cuban model. He may not be Fidel, but he commands enough authority to make sure nothing funny happens under his watch. What is much less clear is what will happen after Raul Castro is gone. No apparatchik wields enough power to ensure the perpetuity of the system." (12/19/16)



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